Crypto.com Prediction

What it is

Crypto.com Prediction is a set of yes/no event contracts traded from the Predict tab of the Crypto.com app and at web.crypto.com. Contracts are priced between $0 and $1, a correct position pays $1 at settlement and an incorrect one pays nothing, so the most you can lose is what you paid including fees.

The part worth getting straight is who lists them. The contracts are products of Crypto.com | Derivatives North America — CDNA — which is the trading name of North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc., the exchange previously known as Nadex. The CFTC's own register of trading organisations carries it as a designated contract market since 18 February 2004, notes that Nadex was acquired by Foris DAX Markets, Inc. in March 2022 and now also does business as Crypto.com, and records an amendment to the designation order on 30 September 2025 permitting margined futures cleared through registered FCMs. So this is not an in-app feature bolted onto a crypto exchange: it is a twenty-year-old designated exchange with a rulebook, reached through a consumer app.

That also means a second account. Inside the app you set up a USD account, then enable a CDNA account and accept its terms separately, and wait for approval before the Predict tab will take an order.

Availability

The help centre's answer is one sentence: Prediction Trading is currently available in the United States only. The product page adds that availability is subject to jurisdictional limitations and that certain products may not be offered in certain jurisdictions because of regulatory restrictions.

Neither page names a state, and there is no served-states list anywhere on the site or in the help centre — so a reader in a state whose regulator has taken a view on sports event contracts cannot settle the question from Crypto.com's published material. The app's own onboarding, which approves or declines your CDNA account, is the only place the answer actually surfaces. Checked 2026-09-19.

Funding is USD, held in a cash account; crypto held elsewhere in the app can be converted to USD at the point of trade. Positions are fully collateralised, so there is no margin call to be caught by.

Pricing

The fee structure changed on 30 June 2026, and the changeover cancelled every resting order on the book rather than repricing it.

Prediction and sports singles are charged on a formula rather than a flat rate:

• taking a price: 0.07 x C x P x (1 - P)
• resting an order that later fills: 0.0175 x C x P x (1 - P)

with C the number of contracts and P the contract price. Combination positions pay the taker rate and have no maker rate. Crypto, FX, commodity and index event contracts are charged a flat $0.02 per contract on both sides instead. Settlement is free: the fee is waived in the money and there is none out of the money.

The formula is a parabola, which is why the fee fields on this card carry 1.75 and 0.44 — those are the worst case, reached at a contract price of 50 cents, expressed as a percentage of the $1 payout: 1.75 cents a contract for a taker, 0.4375 of a cent for a maker. They fall away towards both ends of the range: at 10 cents or 90 cents the taker fee is about a third of the peak. A card cannot give one true number here, so plan against the peak and compute the actual one.

Slippage tolerance on a market order defaults to $0.05 per contract, which on a 20-cent contract is a quarter of the price and dwarfs the fee. Fee table read on 2026-09-19.

Markets & resolution

Over 2,000 markets are advertised, grouped on the site as politics, financials, culture, economics and sports, with weekly cryptocurrency contracts alongside them. Contract sizes are $1 and $10, with tick sizes of one cent and ten cents respectively.

Resolution is the exchange's, under the terms of each contract as self-certified with the CFTC and under the CDNA rulebook, which is published on the Nadex domain rather than on Crypto.com's. Each event's specification is a CFTC product filing, and the product page links a document that is itself only a list of those filings — so answering "what exactly settles this contract" means opening a regulatory filing, not a page on the venue.

One disclaimer on the product page is worth reading twice: where a contract references an agency, a data or pricing source, an index or another measure, that reference is not an endorsement by the source. The thing your position resolves against has not agreed to anything.

Contracts settle within 24 hours of the outcome being determined, and can expire before their listed date if the outcome lands early. Trading hours vary by product, are quoted in US Eastern Time, and weekly cryptocurrency contracts go dark daily between 5pm and 6pm ET.

Integrations

Nothing for an individual. There is no public market-data API, no websocket feed, no SDK and no documented programmatic route to a position: the order ticket is the app, market orders are immediate-or-cancel with a slippage guard, and limit orders rest on the book.

The one published integration is a business partner programme offering embeddable prediction-market components to brands and platforms. It is a contact form — no documentation, no pricing, no stated eligibility.

Limitations

• No published state list. For a venue whose category is being litigated state by state, "the United States only" is the whole of the public answer, and the app's approval decision is the rest of it.
• Two accounts and an approval step before the first order, which is the cost of the contracts being listed by a regulated exchange rather than by the app.
• A formula fee that no single number describes. It is cheap at the extremes and at its worst in the middle, which is where most contested contracts trade.
• Order types stop at market and limit. No stop or conditional orders on prediction contracts, and market orders carry a $0.05 default slippage tolerance that is large relative to a low-priced contract.
• Resolution terms live in CFTC filings, not on the market page. Reading what you actually own takes more work here than on venues that print the rule beside the price.
• Nothing published says what you get at year end. The company's general 1099 article describes a 1099-B for a US person who traded contracts, boxed as regulated futures and options with realised and unrealised figures — but it never names event or prediction contracts among them, and the Prediction Trading article does not mention tax documents at all. We could not resolve from the company's own material whether an event contract is covered, so tax_reporting reads false here rather than claiming a document that no page promises. Checked 21 September 2026.
• The rulebook is on the old brand's domain. Nadex's site is where CDNA's rules and fee schedule are published, which is an odd place to have to look for the terms of a Crypto.com product and a reminder that the exchange and the app are different things.

Alternatives

Anyone who wants to automate is in the wrong place: this venue has no public API at all, and the other CFTC-regulated exchanges in this category publish trading and market-data endpoints.

Anyone outside the US is excluded outright, as they are from every CFTC-regulated venue here; the on-chain and offshore venues in this category are the alternative, at the cost of the exchange designation that is the whole point of this one.