# Unusual Predictions

Hashdive's Polymarket trader scores and potential-insider flags, now at Unusual Whales.

*https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/unusual-predictions · Prediction Market Analytics & Dashboards*

## Facts

### At a glance

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Vendor | Unusual Whales |
| Category | Prediction Market Analytics & Dashboards |
| Job | wallet_analytics |
| Website | https://unusualwhales.com/predictions |
| Pricing model | subscription |
| Free tier | true |
| Open source | false |
| Licence | none |
| Self-hosted | false |
| Tested hands-on | false |
| Last updated | 2026-10-01 |

### Pricing

| Tier | USD | Period |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Free | 0 USD | — |
| Unusual Predictions | 20 USD | — |
| Included in Unusual Whales Dashboard & Tools | 50 USD | — |

### Availability

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Jurisdictions | global |
| Open to US persons | true |
| KYC required | false |

### Markets

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Subjects | politics, sports, macro, crypto, science, culture |
| Settlement | crypto |
| Resolved by | none |

### Economics

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Taker fee | none |
| Maker fee | none |
| Liquidity model | clob |
| Platforms | web |
| AI features | none |

### Interfaces

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| API | true |
| WebSocket | true |
| Scripting | none |
| Python | false |
| MCP server | false |
| Export | api |

### Capabilities

Yes: charting, screening, alerts

No: order_book, backtesting, automation, live_trading, paper_trading, portfolio_tracking, calibration_scoring, cross_venue, news, tax_reporting

*Verified: pricing 2026-09-30; availability 2026-09-30; capabilities 2026-09-30.*

## What it is

Wallet and flow analytics for [Polymarket](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/polymarket), sold by Unusual Whales, the
options-flow company. It is the product that was **Hashdive**. Unusual Whales announced the product
on 8 January 2026 and said Hashdive is now part of the company. The old hashdive.com pages for the screener, trader
analysis, smart scores and whale trades now answer with a permanent redirect to the new product,
checked on 30 September 2026. Its API sits under a path named after Hashdive. The bare hashdive.com
address still serves the old app's shell, titled "Polymarket Analytics by Hashdive", but none of its
pages we tried survived the move. One product, renamed: this card is both.

The product reads every Polymarket trade and sorts wallets and fills into four screens:

- **Smart money.** Every wallet scored by Hashdive's Smart Score, from -100 to 100, per category:
  crypto, culture, finance, politics, sports, weather and others. The vendor says the score combines
  return on investment, effective trade count, win rate, edge and position sizing. A wallet counts as
  "smart" above 10 with at least 10 markets. The top-traders table (score, win rate, markets, P&L,
  amount invested, with a filter to include or exclude bots) opened on 30 September 2026 without
  signing in.
- **Smart gap.** Where the smart-scored wallets are positioned against everybody else in a market,
  drawn as two distributions.
- **Whales.** Large positions with entry price against current price and running P&L, and an alert
  when a large holder takes the side the market prices as unlikely.
- **Potential insiders.** A Z-score ranking of accounts that are new, concentrated in one outcome,
  and early relative to the news.

Watchlists tie these together, with alerts when a flagged wallet or a watched market moves.

## Availability

This product holds no money and places no orders, so who may deposit and who may trade have
nothing to attach to. Unusual Whales' terms of service set out no geographic restriction and no identity check. You need
an account to subscribe, and a card to pay. The terms carry a "Last updated" date of 15 June 2021,
and nothing in them is written about prediction markets. The product is governed by a document
written for an options-data service five years ago.

Seeing a flag and being able to trade the market behind it are separate questions. Polymarket's
international venue does not serve US persons, so a US subscriber gets the whole feed and no way to
act on it there. [Polymarket US](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/polymarket-us) is a separate venue, and nothing here says
its flow is covered.

Terms of service and pricing pages read on 30 September 2026.

## Pricing

**Free**: a daily market summary, a basic market overview, "limited whale trade alerts, a taste of
the full feed", and community access.

**Unusual Predictions, 20 USD a month** month-to-month, or 17 USD a month billed as 204 USD a year.
The plan lists full potential-insider alerts, smart-money tracking across every market and every
whale-trade notification. The API page says your key arrives with the subscription and its rate
limits are the Predictions plan's.

**Bundled.** The Unusual Whales stock-and-options plans (Retail Basic at 50 USD a month, Retail
Pro at 75 USD, Retail Max at 120 USD, month-to-month) each list Unusual Predictions in their
contents. A reader who already pays for options flow has this. A reader who wants only this should
buy the 20 USD plan and nothing else.

**All sales are final.** The terms say so, and the pricing page repeats it: you can cancel future
renewals, not get money back. The pricing page adds that a wrong product can be swapped within 7
days.

## Markets & resolution

Nothing is listed, traded or resolved here. Every market, price and outcome is Polymarket's, and
Polymarket's own process decides it. What this product adds is a reading of who holds what, and
since when.

Every screen is built on derived labels, and none of them is a fact about the world:

- "Smart money" is a score computed from past P&L. A wallet that was right in politics last year
  scores well in politics this year. Whether it keeps being right is the thing the score cannot know.
- "Potential insider" is a statistical flag for a new, concentrated, well-timed account. It is not a
  finding that anyone traded on non-public information, and the vendor's own label is careful to
  say "potential". Some flagged wallets will be exactly what they look like. Others will be a large
  trader's fresh address, or somebody who was lucky once.
- The landing page leads with one flagged account's win. That is one result the vendor chose to
  show. No false-positive rate or hit rate is published, and none has been checked here.

## Integrations

**An API, documented in public.** 42 endpoints in seven groups, published as an OpenAPI 3.1 spec, with
bearer-token authentication. It covers smart-money flow, unusual trades, per-market trades,
positions, OHLC history, a live order-book snapshot and an insider-trade timeline per market. One
endpoint lists the open prediction markets tied to a stock ticker, which is where this product
meets the options business it sits inside.

**A WebSocket.** Live Polymarket fills for the markets on your watchlists, with maker and taker
address, side, size, fee and timestamp.

The main Unusual Whales API also carries a smaller set of `/api/predictions` endpoints (insiders,
smart money, whales, market positions and liquidity). Unusual Whales runs a general MCP server for
its stock and options data. Nothing we read says that server covers prediction markets, so the MCP
flag above is off. There is no SDK and no export beyond the API.

## Limitations

**One venue.** Polymarket only, by the vendor's own API guide. No Kalshi and no Polymarket US.

**The scores are the product, and their weights are not published.** The inputs to the Smart Score
are named, but how they are weighted and how a bot is told apart from a person is not. A score out of
100 invites more confidence than an undisclosed formula has earned.

**A flag is not a trade idea.** Everything this product emits is a label on someone else's position:
a score, a Z-score, a size threshold. Acting on one means following a wallet into a market after it
has already moved the price. By the time an alert reaches you, the book reflects what the flagged
account did.

**The terms predate the product by five years.** The document dated June 2021 speaks of options,
exchange fees and lifetime memberships, and nothing in it addresses prediction-market data. The
footer adds that Unusual Whales is not a registered broker-dealer or investment adviser.

**The old URLs moved.** Bookmarks and integrations built against hashdive.com page paths now land on
Unusual Whales pages. Anything that scraped the old Streamlit app has nothing left to read.

## Alternatives

[Polysights](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/polysights) runs a free insider-finder screen on Polymarket with no published
pricing, and [PrediEdge](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/prediedge) runs a free tape of large fills tagged by price impact,
with a longshot screen it also labels potential insider activity.

For trader P&L and leaderboards, [Polymarket Analytics](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/polymarket-analytics) has a 20 USD
paid tier and an API, [Predicts.guru](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/predicts-guru) is free with no account, and
[Convexly](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/convexly) publishes its method for judging a wallet.

## FAQ

### Is Hashdive the same product as Unusual Predictions?

Yes, in every way that matters to a reader. Unusual Whales announced Unusual Predictions on 8 January 2026 and said Hashdive is now part of the company. The old hashdive.com pages for the screener, trader analysis, smart scores and whale trades now redirect to Unusual Predictions, and its API is served under a path named after Hashdive.

### What does Unusual Predictions cost?

There is a free tier with a daily summary and a sample of whale alerts. The full product is 20 USD a month, or 17 USD a month billed annually. It is also bundled into every paid Unusual Whales stock-and-options plan, from 50 USD a month. Unusual Whales' terms say all sales are final.

### Which venues does it cover?

Polymarket. The vendor's own API guide says the markets are Polymarket prediction markets and the addresses are Polygon wallets. There is no Kalshi view and no cross-venue comparison on the pages we could read.

### What is a Smart Score?

Hashdive's rating of a wallet from -100 to 100, which the vendor says combines return on investment, effective trade count, win rate, edge and position sizing, per category. A wallet counts as smart money above a score of 10 with at least 10 markets. The weights are not published.

## Background

- [Where a dashboard gets its data, and what it loses when that moves](https://predictionmarkets.tools/guides/where-a-dashboard-gets-its-data.md) — A venue API, an indexer or the chain itself. Which one a dashboard reads decides how far back its history goes and what vanishes when that source changes.

- [Why two dashboards show different volume for the same market](https://predictionmarkets.tools/guides/why-two-dashboards-disagree-on-volume.md) — Volume is several quantities under one name - contracts or dollars, one side or both, swaps or also mints and merges, and whose day. How to tell which.
- [What wallet tracking shows, and what it cannot](https://predictionmarkets.tools/guides/what-wallet-tracking-shows.md) — A Polymarket fill is a public transaction and a regulated exchange position is not, so wallet analytics exist on one venue and not the other.

## Also worth comparing

- [Airavat](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/airavat.md) — Trader scoring, filters and paper-trading pods over Polymarket. Invite-only.
- [Convexly](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/convexly.md) — Polymarket wallet diagnostics with published methods, intervals and failed tests.
- [OrcaLayer](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/orcalayer.md) — Polymarket whale analytics indexed from Polygon, with a published farmer filter.
- [PolyAlertHub](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/polyalerthub.md) — Polymarket alerts on whales, wallets and prices, plus a terminal that holds a wallet.
- [Polymarket Alerts](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/polymarket-alerts.md) — Phone push alerts on Polymarket prices, wallets, large trades and UMA disputes.
- [Polysights](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/polysights.md) — Polymarket wallet tracking and an insider finder, with the trading terminal behind a code.