# Crypto.com Prediction

Event contracts on a CFTC-designated exchange, traded from inside the Crypto.com app.

*https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/crypto-com-prediction-markets · Prediction Market Venues*

## Facts

### At a glance

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Vendor | Crypto.com |
| Category | Prediction Market Venues |
| Job | event_trading |
| Website | https://crypto.com/us/prediction |
| Pricing model | commission |
| Free tier | false |
| Open source | false |
| Licence | none |
| Self-hosted | false |
| Tested hands-on | false |
| Last updated | 2026-09-21 |

### Availability

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Jurisdictions | us |
| Open to US persons | true |
| KYC required | true |

### Markets

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Subjects | politics, sports, macro, crypto, culture |
| Settlement | cash |
| Resolved by | Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, under each contract's terms as self-certified with the CFTC and the CDNA rulebook. |

### Economics

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Taker fee | 1.75 |
| Maker fee | 0.44 |
| Liquidity model | clob |
| Platforms | web, ios, android |
| AI features | none |

### Interfaces

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| API | false |
| WebSocket | false |
| Scripting | none |
| Python | false |
| MCP server | false |
| Export | none |

### Capabilities

Yes: order_book, live_trading, portfolio_tracking

No: charting, screening, backtesting, automation, paper_trading, calibration_scoring, cross_venue, alerts, news, tax_reporting

*Verified: pricing 2026-09-19; availability 2026-09-19; economics 2026-09-19; markets 2026-09-19.*

## What it is

Crypto.com Prediction is a set of yes/no event contracts traded from the Predict tab of the
Crypto.com app and at web.crypto.com. Contracts are priced between $0 and $1, a correct position
pays $1 at settlement and an incorrect one pays nothing, so the most you can lose is what you paid
including fees.

The part worth getting straight is who lists them. The contracts are products of Crypto.com |
Derivatives North America — CDNA — which is the trading name of North American Derivatives
Exchange, Inc., the exchange previously known as Nadex. The CFTC's own register of trading
organisations carries it as a designated contract market since 18 February 2004, notes that Nadex
was acquired by Foris DAX Markets, Inc. in March 2022 and now also does business as Crypto.com,
and records an amendment to the designation order on 30 September 2025 permitting margined futures
cleared through registered FCMs. So this is not an in-app feature bolted onto a crypto exchange:
it is a twenty-year-old designated exchange with a rulebook, reached through a consumer app.

That also means a second account. Inside the app you set up a USD account, then enable a CDNA
account and accept its terms separately, and wait for approval before the Predict tab will take an
order.

## Availability

The help centre's answer is one sentence: Prediction Trading is currently available in the United
States only. The product page adds that availability is subject to jurisdictional limitations and
that certain products may not be offered in certain jurisdictions because of regulatory
restrictions.

Neither page names a state, and there is no served-states list anywhere on the site or in the help
centre — so a reader in a state whose regulator has taken a view on sports event contracts cannot
settle the question from Crypto.com's published material. The app's own onboarding, which approves
or declines your CDNA account, is the only place the answer actually surfaces. Checked
2026-09-19.

Funding is USD, held in a cash account; crypto held elsewhere in the app can be converted to USD
at the point of trade. Positions are fully collateralised, so there is no margin call to be caught
by.

## Pricing

The fee structure changed on 30 June 2026, and the changeover cancelled every resting order on the
book rather than repricing it.

Prediction and sports singles are charged on a formula rather than a flat rate:

- taking a price: `0.07 x C x P x (1 - P)`
- resting an order that later fills: `0.0175 x C x P x (1 - P)`

with C the number of contracts and P the contract price. Combination positions pay the taker rate
and have no maker rate. Crypto, FX, commodity and index event contracts are charged a flat $0.02
per contract on both sides instead. Settlement is free: the fee is waived in the money and there
is none out of the money.

The formula is a parabola, which is why the fee fields on this card carry `1.75` and
`0.44` — those are the **worst case**, reached at a contract price of 50 cents, expressed as a
percentage of the $1 payout: 1.75 cents a contract for a taker, 0.4375 of a cent for a maker.
They fall away towards both ends of the range: at 10 cents or 90 cents the
taker fee is about a third of the peak. A card cannot give one true number here, so plan against
the peak and compute the actual one.

Slippage tolerance on a market order defaults to $0.05 per contract, which on a 20-cent contract is
a quarter of the price and dwarfs the fee. Fee table read on 2026-09-19.

## Markets & resolution

Over 2,000 markets are advertised, grouped on the site as politics, financials, culture, economics
and sports, with weekly cryptocurrency contracts alongside them. Contract sizes are $1 and $10,
with tick sizes of one cent and ten cents respectively.

Resolution is the exchange's, under the terms of each contract as self-certified with the CFTC and
under the CDNA rulebook, which is published on the Nadex domain rather than on Crypto.com's. Each
event's specification is a CFTC product filing, and the product page links a document that is
itself only a list of those filings — so answering "what exactly settles this contract" means
opening a regulatory filing, not a page on the venue.

One disclaimer on the product page is worth reading twice: where a contract references an agency,
a data or pricing source, an index or another measure, that reference is not an endorsement by the
source. The thing your position resolves against has not agreed to anything.

Contracts settle within 24 hours of the outcome being determined, and can expire before their
listed date if the outcome lands early. Trading hours vary by product, are quoted in US Eastern
Time, and weekly cryptocurrency contracts go dark daily between 5pm and 6pm ET.

## Integrations

Nothing for an individual. There is no public market-data API, no websocket feed, no SDK and no
documented programmatic route to a position: the order ticket is the app, market orders are
immediate-or-cancel with a slippage guard, and limit orders rest on the book.

The one published integration is a business partner programme offering embeddable prediction-market
components to brands and platforms. It is a contact form — no documentation, no pricing, no stated
eligibility.

## Limitations

- **No published state list.** For a venue whose category is being litigated state by state, "the
  United States only" is the whole of the public answer, and the app's approval decision is the
  rest of it.
- **Two accounts and an approval step** before the first order, which is the cost of the contracts
  being listed by a regulated exchange rather than by the app.
- **A formula fee that no single number describes.** It is cheap at the extremes and at its worst
  in the middle, which is where most contested contracts trade.
- **Order types stop at market and limit.** No stop or conditional orders on prediction contracts,
  and market orders carry a $0.05 default slippage tolerance that is large relative to a
  low-priced contract.
- **Resolution terms live in CFTC filings**, not on the market page. Reading what you actually own
  takes more work here than on venues that print the rule beside the price.
- **Nothing published says what you get at year end.** The company's general 1099 article
  describes a 1099-B for a US person who traded contracts, boxed as regulated futures and options
  with realised and unrealised figures — but it never names event or prediction contracts among
  them, and the Prediction Trading article does not mention tax documents at all. We could not
  resolve from the company's own material whether an event contract is covered, so
  `tax_reporting` reads `false` here rather than claiming a document that no page promises.
  Checked 21 September 2026.
- **The rulebook is on the old brand's domain.** Nadex's site is where CDNA's rules and fee
  schedule are published, which is an odd place to have to look for the terms of a Crypto.com
  product and a reminder that the exchange and the app are different things.

## Alternatives

Anyone who wants to automate is in the wrong place: this venue has no public API at all, and the
other CFTC-regulated exchanges in this category publish trading and market-data endpoints.

Anyone outside the US is excluded outright, as they are from every CFTC-regulated venue here; the
on-chain and offshore venues in this category are the alternative, at the cost of the exchange
designation that is the whole point of this one.

## FAQ

### Is Crypto.com Prediction a separate exchange or a feature of the app?

Both, and the distinction matters. The contracts are listed by Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a designated contract market the CFTC has had on its books since 18 February 2004 — designated then as HedgeStreet, Inc., renamed North American Derivatives Exchange (Nadex) in June 2009. The app is the front end; you open a separate CDNA account inside it before you can trade.

### What do Crypto.com event contracts cost to trade?

Since 30 June 2026, prediction and sports singles are charged 0.07 x C x P x (1 - P) to take a price and a quarter of that to rest an order, where C is the number of contracts and P the price. Crypto, FX, commodity and index contracts are a flat $0.02 per contract instead. Settlement is free either way.

### Can I use Crypto.com Prediction outside the United States?

No. The help centre states the feature is available in the United States only, and the product page warns that availability is subject to jurisdictional limitations. No list of served states is published anywhere on the site.

### What happens to my position if the outcome is known before the expiry date?

The contract can expire early. You are paid $1 per contract if the outcome matches your position and nothing if it does not; where the outcome is not yet known at the listed expiry, trading stops and settlement waits for the outcome.

### Is there an API for Crypto.com event contracts?

Not for individual traders. The only published route is a business partner programme that offers embeddable prediction-market components and asks for a company name and business email, with no public documentation behind it.

## Background

- [Event contract or swap, and why the label decides the case](https://predictionmarkets.tools/guides/event-contract-vs-swap.md) — Whether an event contract is a swap under the Commodity Exchange Act decides whether a state may regulate it. Two circuits read the definition oppositely.
- [How money gets back out](https://predictionmarkets.tools/guides/how-money-gets-out.md) — The rail that funded an account is usually not the rail that empties it. Same-source rules, clearing holds, jurisdiction locks, and what a bridge takes.
- [What a prediction market is, and how one works](https://predictionmarkets.tools/guides/what-a-prediction-market-is.md) — A contract that pays one dollar if a stated event happens. What you buy, who takes the other side, who decides, and when the cents stop meaning a probability.

## Also worth comparing

- [ForecastEx](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/forecastex.md) — Economic and climate contracts on a CFTC exchange that pays interest on your collateral.
- [Kalshi](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/kalshi.md) — A CFTC-designated exchange for event contracts, settled in dollars against named sources.
- [Polymarket US](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/polymarket-us.md) — Polymarket's CFTC-designated US exchange — dollars, KYC, and no on-chain oracle.
- [Robinhood Prediction Markets](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/robinhood-prediction-markets.md) — Event contracts in the Robinhood app, routed to three exchanges — one of them its own JV.
- [Futuur](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/futuur.md) — Play-money and real-money markets side by side, priced by an LS-LMSR market maker.
- [Limitless](https://predictionmarkets.tools/tools/limitless.md) — Event contracts on Base, collateralised in USDC, traded on a central limit order book.